Questions tagged [epidemiology]
122 questions
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3 answers
ultimately, 60-70 percent of the population will have been infected - where does that number come from
As the German chancellor said today, by the end of the year 60-70% of the population will have been through a COVID-19 infection. Where does that number come from?
The basic mechanism is clear, and the magnitude is plausible: Let n be the average…
Gruber Hans
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5
votes
1 answer
How old is the suppression/mitigation distinction in epidemiology?
The question is in the title, really. I have seen this distinction being made since March this year in regards to COVID-19 strategies, but how long have epidemiologists used this categorization? Is it in any classic textbooks? Has suppression been…
bgp2000
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4
votes
0 answers
What are the standard demographic equations for modeling virus spread?
I am wondering what the set of differential equations is that is used to model how viruses spread in a population?
I am also wondering how epidemiologists get around the highly irregular shape of a country to make more-or-less accurate…
PhiEarl
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3
votes
1 answer
How is the duration of an epidemic defined?
I've come across papers that plot the duration of an epidemic
using a parameterized model, and papers that calculate the
expectation of the duration. But I'm looking for how the
duration is defined.
At least one paper gave indications that
it was…
user2153235
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1
vote
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Does the number of contacts people have follow some well known distribution?
In the context of contact tracing, I tried to find whether the number of contacts people have follows some well known distribution, e.g. Gaussian, Zipf etc. But I'm coming up empty. Were any such studies conducted? I did find a somewhat vague…
the gods from engineering
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1
vote
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Effect of Covid-19 lockdowns on other diseases?
So I am sitting here at home in Covid-19 lock down. It got me wondering if there any prior evidence of the effects of lockdowns on the spread of others diseases? Or if there there are any solid conjectures on what happens?
I have only been able to…
DarcyThomas
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0
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biologically related people more susceptible to epidemics?
Are biologically related people more susceptible to epidemics? Say, one of the parents got a cold, is it easier for the child to be infected than is the other parent?
feynman
- 101
0
votes
1 answer
Fatality rate estimation
I'm a non-medical data scientist needing to quickly familiarise myself with epidemiological methodologies. (Don't worry I'm not going anywhere near modelling..)
The definitions of case fatality rate and mortality rate are very clear. I have not…
geotheory
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-1
votes
1 answer
Do health departments inform hospitals/doctors of disease trends?
For example, during a common cold epidemic, do doctors get reported beforehand that there is a trend going on so that they can use this information to suspect diagnosis?
Does every health care unit have a special website where physicians log on to,…
Mhkhm
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2 answers
Self quarantine for travel in Europe?
I just got back from the Netherlands and read a notice on the CDC web site that says I "must" self quarantine for 14 days.
I guess I don't understand. I think the Netherlands has 2 cases and my home state of New Hampshire has 6. So, the logic is…
Tyler Durden
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